We have catalogued 7 versions of Ilia Topuria's Lunar Tide #LT-3, his insert with a full ladder in 2024 Topps Midnight UFC, the first UFC Midnight. 6 have a photo of the actual copy.
Lunar Tide is a 15-card insert in 2024 Topps Midnight UFC featuring Rose Namajunas, Jon Jones, Max Holloway, Sean O'Malley and Khamzat Chimaev. Ilia Topuria is #LT-3, per Checklist Insider's checklist, a secondary source; the number is confirmed by the back of the photographed copy.
Design: Ilia Topuria roaring, from the waist up, on a pink-to-aqua gradient, with a row of moon phases and the “Lunar Tide” logo below.
Back: “Featherweight” and a career paragraph: his second straight Performance of the Night bonus for submitting Bryce Mitchell at UFC 282 (3:10 of round two) and his 6-0 UFC record after beating Josh Emmett.
Which box it comes from and how often
2024 Midnight UFC is Hobby-only: 1 pack of 7 cards per box and 12 boxes per case, released 15 May 2024, per Checklist Insider, a secondary source. Since a box is a single pack, per-pack odds are also per-box odds.
The official odds sheet puts Lunar Tide at 1:9: on average, one of these cards every nine boxes.
Adding up the seven versions, some Lunar Tide of Ilia Topuria turns up on average once every 71 boxes, about six cases. Our estimate, assuming an even split among the 15 fighters.
The LT-3 parallel ladder
Per-box odds from the official Topps sheet; print runs from our catalogue, matching Checklist Insider, a secondary source. The colours in brackets are our catalogue's names, and at the end, how often Ilia Topuria's card falls (our estimate, odds × 15):
Base, unnumbered: 1:9 (1:135).
Twilight (Pink/Red) /99: 1:18 (1:270).
Moon Beam (Black), unnumbered: 1:51 (1:765).
Moonrise (Light Blue) /25: 1:71 (1:1,065).
Midnight (Pink/Purple) /12: 1:146 (1:2,190).
Daybreak (Gold) /5: 1:348 (1:5,220).
Black Light 1/1: 1:1,694 (1:25,410).
Worth knowing
The unnumbered Moon Beam is scarcer than the Twilight /99: 1:51 against 1:18. If the split follows print runs, about 35 per fighter were made, between the Twilight /99 and the Moonrise /25. Our estimate, not a Topps figure.
There is no Dusk /75 in 2024 Lunar Tide: neither the sheet nor the checklist has one, unlike that year's base set.
Lunar Tide returned in 2025 without Ilia Topuria: the official 2025 checklist has it at 20 cards and he is not there. That year his inserts with a ladder were Insomnia and Constellations.