We have catalogued 7 versions of Ilia Topuria's Night Watch #PC-22, one of the inserts in 2026 Topps Midnight UFC, the one-pack-per-box product. 6 have a photo of the actual copy.
Night Watch is a 25-card insert in 2026 Topps Midnight UFC featuring Max Holloway, Islam Makhachev, Conor McGregor, Khabib Nurmagomedov and Alex Pereira. Ilia Topuria is #PC-22, per Checklist Insider's checklist, a secondary source; the number is confirmed by the back of the photographed copy.
The prefix is PC-, not NW-: search for “PC-22”. A listing reading “NW-22” means this card with the wrong number.
Design: Ilia Topuria standing, shown down to the waist, between blue metallic arches and clouds, with the “Midnight” logo at the top.
Back: the Night Watch logo inside an octagon, his name, the weight class —“Lightweight”, that of his lightweight belt— and the line “From 2026 Topps Midnight UFC”. It tells no fight story.
Which box it comes from and how often
2026 Midnight UFC is Hobby-only: 1 pack of 7 cards per box and 8 boxes per case, with one insert per box, released 22 May 2026, per Checklist Insider, a secondary source. Since a box is a single pack, per-pack odds are also per-box odds.
Adding up the six versions with odds on the official sheet, some Night Watch of Ilia Topuria turns up on average once every 107 boxes: about thirteen cases. Our estimate, assuming an even split among the 25 fighters, which holds here because they all share the same print runs.
The PC-22 parallel ladder
Per-box odds from the official Topps sheet; print runs from our catalogue, matching Checklist Insider, a secondary source. In brackets, how often Ilia Topuria's card falls (our estimate, odds × 25):
Base, unnumbered: no published odds (see below).
Moon Beam, unnumbered: 1:11 (1:275).
Dusk /75: 1:11 (1:275).
Moonrise /25: 1:33 (1:825).
Midnight /12: 1:69 (1:1,725).
Daybreak /5: 1:164 (1:4,100).
Black Light 1/1: 1:817 (1:20,425).
The Base version the sheet does not list
Our catalogue has a Night Watch with no parallel, with a photo of the copy and confirmed sales: plain chrome, without the Moon Beam sparkle. But neither the official odds sheet nor Checklist Insider names it: both start the ladder at Moon Beam. That is why we give it no odds.
Worth knowing
The Moon Beam is unnumbered but it is not the common one: it falls exactly as often as the Dusk /75 (1:11), so, if the split is proportional, about 75 per fighter were made. Our estimate, not a Topps figure.
Same odds as Insomnia: the sheet gives Night Watch and Ilia Topuria's Insomnia the same ladder, rung by rung.